LSN โ€” Local Sovereign Network

Ghost Machines โ€” A Forensic Investigation Series
Letter E: Follow the Money
The Economics of SSH Exploitation

๐Ÿ’ฐ Follow the Money

The previous letters documented the machinery: the proxy hunters (037A), the post-compromise operators (037B), the malware delivery networks (037C), and the statistical census of the entire ecosystem (037D).

Now the question the census demanded: who pays for all of this, and how?

Seven distinct botnets. 2,190+ IPs. Cloud servers costing money. Bulletproof hosting costing more money. Custom Go scanners costing development time. Paramiko pipelines costing engineering effort. The 1,247-character reconnaissance command that checks for socat, chisel, gost, MikroTik, OpenWrt, and Ubiquiti โ€” someone wrote that. Someone maintains it. Someone pays that person.

The SSH exploitation ecosystem is not chaos. It is a market. And markets have prices.

I. The Five Revenue Streams

A single compromised SSH server can generate revenue through five distinct channels simultaneously. The operator who gains access in the first ten seconds (037B) doesn't necessarily monetize it. They sell access. The buyer might use it for any combination of the following:

SSH Compromise
โ†’
Access Broker
โ†™
โ†“
โ†˜
1. Proxy Relay
2. Cryptomining
3. Botnet Node
4. Ransomware
5. Data Theft
โ†“
โ†“
โ†“
โ†“
โ†“
$0.50-5/mo/IP
$2-15/mo/GPU
$0.01-0.10/probe
$200K+ avg
$5-50/record

II. Revenue Stream 1: The Residential Proxy Market

This is why the ISAEV go_scanner cluster exists (037A). The 1,247-character reconnaissance command doesn't check for socat and chisel and gost by accident. It checks because those tools convert an SSH server into a SOCKS5 proxy โ€” and residential SOCKS5 proxies are worth money.

The Market

The residential proxy market is not underground. It is a publicly traded industry.

Case Study: Alarum Technologies (NASDAQ: ALAR)

In June 2025, researchers from multiple security firms โ€” including Human Security, Trend Micro, and Lumen's Black Lotus Labs โ€” revealed that the Popa botnet, which had conscripted millions of Android TV boxes into a relay network, was linked to NetNut, a "residential proxy" provider operated by the Israeli firm Alarum Technologies Ltd, publicly traded on NASDAQ under ticker ALAR.

A publicly traded company. On NASDAQ. Buying bandwidth from botnets. This is not a dark web marketplace. This is the stock market.

Source: Brian Krebs, KrebsOnSecurity, June 2025.

Proxy Provider TypePrice per GBMonthly per IPSource of IPsLegality
Data center proxy$0.50-2$1-5Cloud VMs (DigitalOcean, OVH)Legal
Residential proxy (legitimate)$5-15$10-50SDK-enrolled devices, VPN appsGray area
Residential proxy (botnet-sourced)$2-8$0.50-5Compromised routers, IoT, PCsIllegal
Mobile proxy$15-50$50-200Compromised phones, SDK abuseIllegal

What Our Honeypot Proves

The go_scanner's reconnaissance command checks for:

  • AllowTcpForwarding, PermitTunnel, GatewayPorts โ€” SSH tunneling capabilities
  • socat, chisel, gost โ€” proxy and tunneling tools
  • MikroTik, OpenWrt, Ubiquiti firmware signatures โ€” router identification

This is a capability assessment for proxy recruitment. The scanner is determining: can this device be turned into a relay? The 91% success rate documented in 037A โ€” 3,942 successful logins out of 4,336 attempts โ€” means ISAEV's cluster identifies and enrolls residential proxies at industrial scale.

Revenue Calculation: ISAEV Proxy Operation
โ–ธ 6 scanner IPs ร— 765 sessions/IP = 4,589 sessions observed on ONE honeypot
โ–ธ 91% success rate = ~4,176 compromised devices from our honeypot alone
โ–ธ Internet-wide: if scanning 3.7B IPv4 addresses, conservative 0.1% respond on port 22
โ–ธ 3.7M SSH-responding IPs ร— 91% success = ~3.4M potential proxy nodes
โ–ธ Even at $0.50/month/IP: $1.7M/month potential revenue
โ–ธ Infrastructure cost: 6 servers on novahost.kz (Kazakhstan shell company) โ‰ˆ $300/month
Q: $1.7 million per month from six servers in Kazakhstan. That can't be right.
A: The math is conservative. Not all 3.4M devices would stay online. Not all would have useful bandwidth. Realistically, even 1% of the theoretical maximum โ€” 34,000 residential proxies at $0.50/month โ€” generates $17,000/month from $300 in infrastructure. The unit economics are absurd. This is why the operation exists, why it runs 24/7, and why ISAEV Igor registered it through a Kazakhstan shell company: the profit margin justifies the legal risk. And in Kazakhstan, the legal risk is approximately zero.

III. Revenue Stream 2: Cryptomining on Stolen Compute

The GPU Hunter profile from 037B executes nvidia-smi and lspci | grep -i nvidia within the first ten seconds. They are not checking for graphics cards to play games. They are checking for mining capacity.

The Cryptojacking Economy

According to Europol's Internet Organised Crime Threat Assessment and FinCEN's Suspicious Activity Report analysis, cryptomining on compromised infrastructure โ€” "cryptojacking" โ€” generates an estimated $200-400 million annually worldwide. The preferred currency is Monero (XMR), which uses the RandomX proof-of-work algorithm optimized for CPUs and resistant to ASIC mining.

A compromised server with a modern CPU generates approximately $2-15/month in Monero depending on hash power. A server with an NVIDIA GPU generates $15-100/month. The operator's cost: zero. The electricity bill belongs to the victim.

Our census (037D) identified 3 IPs specifically targeting NVIDIA-equipped servers. But the real cryptomining operation is invisible in our data because the miners don't need SSH access โ€” they are deployed via the malware payloads documented in 037C. The whisper ARM malware, the meow Mirai variant, the notwork-monitoring iterative builds โ€” each likely includes mining capability alongside their primary function.

The Google Cloud Arbitrage

The meow botnet operators (037B) run their entire infrastructure on Google Cloud โ€” scanner, C2, backup C2, all on GCP. The free trial abuse pattern documented in our data creates a specific economic model:

Meow Cloud Arbitrage Model
โ–ธ Create Google Cloud account with stolen/synthetic identity โ†’ $300 free credit
โ–ธ Deploy scanner VM, C2 VM, backup VM โ†’ ~$50/month in compute
โ–ธ 6 months of scanning before credit exhaustion
โ–ธ Compromised devices mine crypto, serve as proxies, join DDoS-for-hire
โ–ธ When account is suspended: create new account, repeat
โ–ธ Net cost: $0. Revenue: distributed across compromised fleet.

IV. Revenue Stream 3: The Credential Market

Not all operators exploit the access they gain. Many are access brokers โ€” they compromise, catalog, and sell. The Go_SSH cluster from 037D is the clearest example: 49% success rate, 432 commands, zero downloads. They log in, profile the system, and leave. The profiling data โ€” OS version, installed software, network position, available resources โ€” determines the price.

Access TypeMarket PriceTypical BuyerVolume Available
Root SSH (residential IP, US/EU)$5-50Proxy recruiters, spammersHigh (thousands/day)
Root SSH (cloud/VPS, any country)$1-10Botnet operators, minersVery high
Root SSH (corporate network)$50-500Ransomware affiliates, APTsLow (tens/day)
Root SSH (GPU server, 8+ GB VRAM)$100-1,000Cryptominers, AI computeVery low
Root SSH (government/military/.gov)$500-10,000Nation-state proxies, APTsExtremely rare
IoT device (router admin access)$0.10-1Proxy networks, DDoS-for-hireMassive (millions)
Q: Where are these credentials sold?
A: The access broker market operates on Telegram channels, underground forums (XSS, Exploit.in, BreachForums), and specialized platforms like Genesis Market (seized by FBI in April 2023, replaced within months). The trade is industrialized. Botnet operators run automated listing bots: a compromised server is profiled, categorized, priced, and listed for sale within minutes of the initial compromise. The 10-second window documented in 037B isn't just about speed of exploitation โ€” it's about speed to market.

V. Revenue Stream 4: Ransomware-as-a-Service

The most lucrative downstream use of SSH access is ransomware deployment. FinCEN's analysis of Bank Secrecy Act filings identified $1.2 billion in ransomware-related suspicious activity in 2021 alone, with the true figure estimated significantly higher due to unreported payments.

Source: FinCEN Ransomware SAR Analysis, US Treasury ML Risk Assessment 2022

"During the pandemic, attacks on small municipalities and healthcare institutions have become more common, likely based on an expectation that the need to resume operations, in particular during a pandemic, may make hospitals more likely to pay a ransom. Criminals often require ransomware-related extortion payments to be made in virtual assets, frequently in bitcoin."

"FinCEN SAR analysis indicates that some ransomware actors have demanded payment in anonymity-enhanced cryptocurrencies (AECs)."

The connection to our data: ransomware affiliates purchase SSH access from the same access brokers who profit from the Go_SSH compromises. The Go_SSH operators (037D) profile systems without deploying payloads. The ransomware affiliate โ€” operating under a separate identity, through a separate chain of proxies โ€” purchases the access listing, deploys the ransomware, and negotiates the ransom. The SSH compromise is step one of a supply chain that ends with a hospital paying $200,000 in Bitcoin.

The Ransomware Supply Chain (Traced Through Our Data)
1. Scanner (libssh_0.9.6 botnet) identifies SSH servers โ†’ Cost: $0 (cloud free trial or compromised device)
2. Credential stuffer (admin:123456, admin:admin) gains access โ†’ Cost: $0 (automated)
3. Access broker (Go_SSH profile) catalogs and lists the target โ†’ Revenue: $5-500 per listing
4. Ransomware affiliate purchases access and deploys payload โ†’ Cost: $5-500 for access + 20-30% to RaaS operator
5. Victim pays ransom in Bitcoin โ†’ Average: $200,000-$1.5M
6. Laundering: Bitcoin โ†’ mixer/tumbler โ†’ multiple wallets โ†’ exchange โ†’ fiat โ†’ 10-20% laundering fee

VI. Revenue Stream 5: The Data Market

The mdrfckr SSH key injector from 037B installs a persistent RSA-2048 backdoor. This provides indefinite future access to the compromised system. For servers that process or store data โ€” databases, web servers, mail servers โ€” this access enables continuous data exfiltration.

The value depends entirely on what the server contains:

Data TypePer-Record ValueTypical VolumeMarket
Credit card numbers$5-45ThousandsCarding forums
Personal identity (SSN + DOB + name)$10-50Thousands-millionsFullz markets
Healthcare records$50-250Hundreds-thousandsInsurance fraud
Corporate email credentials$5-20HundredsBEC operations
Source code / trade secrets$10K-1M+UniqueNation-state, competitors

VII. The Infrastructure Costs โ€” What the Attackers Spend

Every revenue stream requires infrastructure investment. The census data lets us estimate what the seven botnets actually cost to operate.

CampaignInfrastructureEst. Monthly CostRevenue ModelEst. Monthly RevenueROI
ISAEV go_scanner6 IPs, novahost.kz$300Residential proxy$17K-170K56x-566x
Omegatech/Private Layer4 IPs, bulletproof$800Credential harvest + proxy$10K-50K12x-62x
w1n/Nano IT Paramiko3 IPs, LV/SE$200Malware deployment$5K-25K25x-125x
libssh_0.9.6 botnet421 IPs (cloud)$0*Mixed (proxy+mine+sell)$50K-200Kโˆž*
libssh_0.11.x legion1,313 IPs (compromised)$0โ€ Scanner-as-a-service$20K-100Kโˆžโ€ 
libssh2 ghost fleet628 IPs$0โ€ Data sale (SSH map)$5K-30Kโˆžโ€ 
meow/Google Cloud3 IPs, GCP free trial$0*IoT botnet enrollment$10K-50Kโˆž*

* Free cloud trial abuse. โ€  Running on already-compromised infrastructure (cost externalized to victims).

Q: Several campaigns show infinite ROI. Zero cost, positive revenue. How is that possible?
A: By externalizing costs. The libssh botnets run on compromised devices โ€” the victim pays the electricity, the bandwidth, the hardware depreciation. The meow operators use stolen cloud credentials โ€” Google pays. This is the fundamental economic insight: the SSH exploitation ecosystem operates at near-zero marginal cost because every resource it consumes belongs to someone else. It is a parasitic economy in the literal biological sense: the host pays for the parasite's survival.

VIII. The Money Laundering Pipeline

Revenue generated through SSH exploitation flows through a documented financial pipeline. Europol's Cryptocurrency Tracing Report and FinCEN's SAR analysis describe the standard laundering process:

Crypto Wallet (Ransom/Mining)
โ†’
Mixer/Tumbler
โ†’
Chain Hopping (BTCโ†’XMRโ†’BTC)
โ†“
Clean Fiat (Bank Account)
โ†
P2P Exchange (LocalBitcoins)
โ†
Nested Exchange (Weak KYC)
Source: Europol Crypto Tracing Report

The Europol report documents that ransomware proceeds are "laundered through a combination of mixing services, privacy coins (primarily Monero), decentralized exchanges, and nested services โ€” exchanges operating within larger platforms with minimal Know-Your-Customer requirements."

The same infrastructure that enables ransomware laundering also enables laundering of residential proxy revenue, cryptojacking proceeds, and credential market sales. The financial pipes are shared because the jurisdictions are shared: the same countries that host bulletproof servers (037D) also host the exchanges with weak compliance โ€” Seychelles, Panama, British Virgin Islands.

IX. The Scale of the Economy

Combining the five revenue streams with the census data from 037D:

$117K-625K
Estimated Monthly Revenue (7 Botnets Combined)
$1.3K
Total Monthly Infrastructure Cost
$0
Cost When Using Stolen Compute
90x-480x
Aggregate ROI

These estimates are derived from one honeypot seeing one IP address. The actual scale โ€” across the entire IPv4 space, across SSH, Telnet, RDP, HTTP, and every other protocol โ€” is orders of magnitude larger.

The US Treasury estimated $1.2 billion in ransomware-related suspicious activity in 2021. Chainalysis tracked $1.1 billion in ransomware payments in 2023. The residential proxy market alone is estimated at $3-7 billion annually. Cryptojacking adds another $200-400 million.

The total SSH exploitation economy โ€” from the first scan to the last laundered dollar โ€” likely exceeds $10 billion annually.

X. Who Gets Paid โ€” The Distribution

The revenue does not flow evenly. Like any industry, value concentrates at the top.

Role% of Total RevenueRisk LevelExample from Our Data
Ransomware-as-a-Service operators35-45%Low (infrastructure only)Not directly observed
Ransomware affiliates20-30%High (operational)Not directly observed
Access brokers10-15%MediumGo_SSH operators (037D)
Proxy network operators10-15%Low-MediumISAEV cluster (037A)
Cryptomining operators5-10%LowGPU Hunter profile (037B)
Bulletproof hosting providers3-5%Very LowOmegatech, Private Layer (037A)
Money launderers5-10%MediumNot directly observed
Q: The bulletproof hosting providers take only 3-5% of total revenue but face "very low" risk. Meanwhile, ransomware affiliates take 20-30% but face high risk. The infrastructure providers are the safest and most consistent earners in the entire chain.
A: Exactly. And this is not an accident. The bulletproof hosting business model is structurally identical to commercial real estate: collect rent, maintain the property, don't ask questions about the tenant's business. Omegatech LTD, registered in Seychelles, hosting scanners from the Netherlands, listed on Spamhaus DROP, continues to operate because the legal framework for holding hosting providers responsible is fragmented across jurisdictions. They are the landlords of cybercrime, and eviction law is written in their favor.

XI. The Structural Conclusion

The SSH exploitation economy is not a criminal underworld. It is a shadow economy operating in parallel with โ€” and sometimes within โ€” the legitimate technology sector.

"A publicly traded Israeli company purchases bandwidth from a botnet that recruits devices via SSH brute-force. A Chinese cloud giant hosts 23% of a classified botnet through its Singapore subsidiary. A Latvian apartment in Riga serves malware to ARM devices with zero abuse reports. A Panamanian-Swiss shell company runs 57 proxy ports visible to anyone with a Shodan account. And at the bottom of the chain, a Raspberry Pi with the factory password pi:raspberry becomes someone's exit node."

This is not a failure of technology. SSH is cryptographically sound. Key-based authentication is provably secure. The protocol itself is not broken.

What's broken is the incentive structure. The cloud provider profits from the botnet operator's server rental. The bulletproof host profits from the scanner's persistence. The proxy company profits from the compromised router's bandwidth. The cryptocurrency exchange profits from the laundering transaction fee. The device manufacturer profits from selling a router with admin:admin as the factory default.

Everyone in the chain profits except the victims.

That's not a bug. That's the business model.

TI-2026-037E ยท Ghost Machines Series ยท Letter E
Published by LSN Threat Intelligence ยท Data: LSN Cowrie Honeypot + FinCEN + Europol + KrebsOnSecurity
5 revenue streams ยท 7 botnet ROIs ยท $10B+ annual economy
All data sourced from proprietary honeypot deployment, open-source intelligence, and government publications.

โš  Personal capacity. Research published independently โ€” not reflecting employer views. Derived from passive observation of attacks against personal infrastructure. Full disclaimer โ†’
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